The lowdown on the Wentworth by-election
The Wentworth by-election is a unique opportunity for GetUp members to stand up for a safe climate. In the lead-up to October 20, GetUp members are working hard to make sure everyone knows what's at stake when they walk into the voting booth.
You might see some friendly local GetUp members handing out independent how-to-vote cards for the Wentworth by-election. Our how-to-vote cards remind voters of the Liberal party's appalling track record on climate change. They give Wentworth voters information on how to make their vote count for the climate.
In all strategic decisions, GetUp's guiding principle is to help GetUp members have the greatest impact on the issues they care about — because it's not just about making our voices heard, it's about making them matter. To find out more about the research that has shaped the Wentworth election campaign, read on.
Any questions? Get in touch! Simply shoot us an email at wentworthvotes@getup.org.au
References:
[1] Reachtel poll of 870 Wentworth residents, 3 October 2018
[2] Analysis of October 3 Reachtel poll, Ben Raue, GetUp
To learn more about what's at stake this election, read on.
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When does GetUp get involved in elections?
GetUp gets involved in election campaigns where there is:
- An opportunity: a clear distinction between the parties or candidates in the running on the issues that matter most to the GetUp movement, and a strong chance that our involvement will lead to progress on those issues;
- A movement: of members who approve of being involved, and are themselves eager to be involved;
- An avenue: a pathway for members to participate and create positive change on the issues they care about.
GetUp members get involved in elections in a range of ways — whether it's making calls to speak to voters, chipping in for a billboard, volunteering their time for a cheeky tactic, or speaking to voters on election day at their local polling booth.
GetUp takes a range of information into account when deciding how and whether to campaign during elections. The GetUp Strategy Team run polls of voters, as well as talking to GetUp members on the ground, over the phone and on the internet. Together, we have conversations about how and when GetUp members want to put their force into political campaigns. When we can't brainstorm face-to-face, we also work through questions of strategy and priority in surveys.
There are 13,000 GetUp members in Wentworth - that's more than one in ten voters! Local members are already making a big difference in this by-election: calling and writing to their neighbours and chipping in for billboards and advertising. Our survey of Wentworth members showed that they were on the same page as the broader electorate about the importance of climate change, nominating it as the top-priority issue of the by-election. An overwhelming 96% of Wentworth members were keen for GetUp to get involved in the by-election.
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What is GetUp doing on polling day?
GetUp has created independent, issue-based how-to-vote cards for the electorate of Wentworth. How-to-vote cards show voters how to make their vote count in support of climate action. On election day in Wentworth, more than a hundred volunteers will be distributing this information across the electorate - click here to register your interest.
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How did you pick which candidates to feature on your how-to-vote cards?
Our how-to-vote cards seek to provide helpful information for GetUp members and local voters on how they can make their vote count on the issues they care about — in this case, climate change.
GetUp conducted research and surveys of political parties and candidates on their policies. We've combined that information with recent policy announcements and statements from candidates and party spokespeople to track who has the strongest positions on our issues that GetUp members care about.
As you'll see in the policy scorecard, more parties and candidates scored well on climate policy than could fit on a readable how-to-vote card. Of these, four candidates are in a position to ensure the Liberal Party suffers at the ballot box for failing to represent Wentworth voters' views on climate change. Parties and candidates in contravention of GetUp's core mission (for a fair, flourishing and just Australia) were not considered for inclusion. Nor were candidates without demonstrated support from the community (for example, holding a seat in a parliament or demonstrated support in polling).
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Which parties and candidates are featured on your how-to-vote cards?
In a field of 16 candidates with a very complicated ballot paper, we've aimed to have the simplest possible how-to-votes while still giving the greatest possible proportion of voters useful information on how to make their vote count for the climate.
Given the importance of preference flows in the Wentworth by-election and the volatility of the primary votes for non-Liberal candidates in polling so far, we have set a low polling threshold for candidates' inclusion on our HTVs.
We're constantly testing how best to help people make their vote count. This approach will give us another opportunity to find out what works.
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How did you decide the order of preferences on your how-to-vote cards?
Preferencing is no perfect science, particularly in a by-election with a complicated, 16-person ballot paper. In deciding the order of preferences, we prioritised the candidates who scored highest on our policy scorecard while also meeting the polling threshold for being featured on the how-to-vote.
Overall, we prioritised candidates or parties whose overall contribution to politics appeared broadly aligned with the GetUp movement's core values — for example, candidates who are in favour of climate action, participatory democracy, human rights and economic fairness; and whose policies don't contravene fundamental human rights and the core beliefs for our movement (e.g. support of multiculturalism and migrants, women's rights, and equality for all — no matter who you love or worship).
We didn't receive responses to our policy survey from every candidate and party running in this by-election. However, we independently scrutinised the parties or candidates; and combined it with survey responses we did receive. These inputs helped inform the fact base and the order of the candidates featured on our how-to-vote cards.
For more information, check out our detailed Wentworth by-election scorecard. This scorecard may be updated as more information comes to light about the candidates and where they stand. If you spot something that you think is missing - email wentworthvotes@getup.org.au
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Is GetUp backing any candidates in the by-election?
GetUp is backing climate action, not candidates — our research-based how-to-vote cards remind voters of the Liberal Party's appalling track record on climate change. They give Wentworth locals information on how to send the strongest possible message to the Liberal party by voting for candidates with better climate policies.
How-to-votes are one of many things GetUp members are doing in this by-election to encourage Wentworth voters to ensure the Liberal party pays a price for its inaction on climate change. Hundreds of members are calling voters, chipping in for billboards, online and print advertising and street posters.
Where do the parties stand on the issues?
GetUp conducted research and surveys of political parties and candidates on their policies, across 22 issues of importance to GetUp members, including several in-depth questions on climate policy.
A detailed scorecard with the results of our policy surveys and GetUp's research of party policy, along with references, can be viewed here. A simpler scorecard summarising the top-polling candidates' positions on key climate policies like stopping Adani and backing clean energy can be viewed here.
We have endeavoured to research party policy accurately and to the best of our knowledge -- if you spot any inconsistencies or inaccuracies, let us know at wentworthvotes@getup.org.au
To date, we have received responses to our policy survey from:- The Animal Justice Party
- The Arts Party
- Kerryn Phelps (independent)
- Licia Heath (independent)
- The Science Party
- The Greens
- The Liberal Democrats
- The Voluntary Euthanasia Party
- Sustainable Australia Party
At the time of writing, Dave Sharma (Liberals), Angela Vithoulkas (Independent), and Derryn Hinch's Justice Party (Ben Forsyth) have not responded to our survey. Tim Murray (Labor) did not complete the policy survey and instead responded with a short statement outlining some aspects of his party's climate policy. Where possible we have rated all parties and candidates based on publicly available information on party policy, or in the case of independents, their own policy positions. Where this was not possible we assigned them an 'uncommitted' response.
What's gone into this?
GetUp conducted research and surveys of political parties and candidates on their positions on 22 policy areas.
We've combined that with further research, and announcements made over the
course of the election campaign.
Any questions? Get in touch! Simply shoot us an email at wentworthvotes@getup.org.au.
Tell me more about the Liberal party's stance on climate change?
As GetUp's how-to-votes point out, the Liberal party has no climate policy worth the name. Under Prime Minister Morrison, the Liberal government has:
- Ruled out any policy to apply the Paris climate agreement to the electricity sector1
- No plan to meet even the weak and inadequate climate targets passed by Tony Abbott in 20152
- Appointed an anti-wind campaigner, Angus Taylor, as Energy Minister, and a former coal and resource industry lobbyist as Scott Morrison's Chief of Staff3
- Signaled the potential to use government support to prop up coal plants4
- Confirmed that the Renewable Energy Target (which has already been met) will be replaced with nothing at all 5
- Rejected the IPCC's finding that limiting dangerous global warming means phasing out coal6
After five years of the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison government, Australia has no climate policy, no plan for investment in clean energy, and no plan to cut coal pollution. Despite all this, the Liberal candidate for Wentworth, Dave Sharma, believes the Liberal party is 'doing enough' on climate change.
References:
[1] 'Scott Morrison needs a plan to cut emissions but all he has is a fairytale', The Guardian, September 15 2018
[2] 'Australia's Rising Greenhouse Gas Emissions', Climate Council, 2018
[3] 'Morrison gives climate the middle finger as Australian emissions soar over Paris', RenewEconomy, September 14 2018
[4] 'Angus Taylor signals further taxpayer investment in existing coal and gas', The Guardian, August 30 2018
[5] 'Angus Taylor confirms government 'won't be replacing' renewable energy target' Sydney Morning Herald, September 18 2018
[6] 'IPCC push to dump coal-fired power not for us, says Morrison', The Australian, October 8 2018